Surveys and Exit Polls

BOYLE COUNTY EXIT POLL

The “Boyle County Exit Poll” is an on-going pedagogical and community engagement project run by Dr. Benjamin Knoll in the fall semesters of election years. Numerous students are engaged from a variety of political science courses. The poll serves three purposes: 1) an experiential learning and research opportunity for Centre College students interested in politics, 2) a service provided by Centre College to the wider Danville/Boyle community, and 3) a research venue for the instructor.

More information and analysis from these exit polls can be found under the “Exit Poll” tag here on this website: https://informationknoll.wordpress.com/category/exit-poll/. Specific information about the individual polls can be found below.
 
 

2014 Danville Public Issues Survey

Details: This January 2014 survey population included all households in Danville city limits. To produce the household sample, we obtained a list of every residential address within Danville city limits from the county PVA. We then generated a randomized sub-sample of each address and assigned each of our students to distribute surveys to those addresses and only those addresses (this is to maintain the integrity of the random sample). If no one was at home, students were instructed to return to those same addresses up to three times to obtain a response. Students were further instructed to field surveys during the late afternoons/early evenings as well as some morning to try to maximize the amount of responses from households. These surveys were completely anonymous and it is not possible to link any particular respondent with his or her answers after the survey is collected. Students fielded surveys beginning on Monday, January 20th and ending on Saturday, January 25th. For this survey, a total of 183 Danville residents over the age of 18 choose to participate. Given that the adult population of Danville is approximately 12,500 (as per the U.S. Census Bureau), a randomly-selected sample size of 183 gives us a margin of error of about 7%.

Data: A public data file is available for examination and analysis by interested parties. Any public documents (blog posts, academic articles, conference papers, newspaper editorials, etc.) produced using this data should cite and reference the poll and its author. Also, the document should include a disclaimer that neither the author nor Centre College are responsible for the interpretations or conclusions of the analysis.

Click here to download.

This survey included questions about Danville’s attitudes toward various elected officials, local issues (connector road land usage, Fairness Ordinance), and media consumption. A write-up of the results of this survey can be found by clicking here.

 

2012 Boyle County Exit Poll

Details: This exit poll was administered to Boyle County voters on November 6, 2012. Respondents were randomly selected by interviewers to participate in the survey. Centre College students enrolled in Professor Benjamin Knoll’s GOV 110 (Introduction to Politics), GOV 210 (Introduction to American Politics), and GOV 330 (Parties, Campaigns, and Elections) courses participated in designing and administering the exit poll. Students were on-site from 6:00 AM through 6:00 PM surveying voters as they left the polling locations on Tuesday, November 6th, 2012. In all, 1,461 Boyle County voters (including 1,038 self-reported from Danville) participated in the exit poll. The following statistics have a margin of error of ±2.4% for questions given to all Boyle County voters.

Accuracy: On average, the results of this exit poll are 4.8% off from the actual results. More details are available here.

Response rate: In total, 50.4% of those who were asked took the survey. More details are available here.

Data: A public data file is available for examination and analysis by interested parties. Any public documents (blog posts, academic articles, conference papers, newspaper editorials, etc.) produced using this data should cite and reference the poll and its author. Also, the document should include a disclaimer that neither the author nor Centre College are responsible for the interpretations or conclusions of the analysis.

Click here to download.

A summary of the results can be found here.

 

2011 Boyle County Exit Poll

Details: The 2011 Boyle County Exit Poll was administered to Boyle County, Kentucky voters on November 8, 2011. Respondents were randomly selected by interviewers to participate in the survey. Centre College students enrolled in Professor Benjamin Knoll’s GOV 110 (Introduction to Politics) and GOV 336 (Public Opinion and Voting Behavior) courses participated in designing and administering the exit poll. Students were on-site from 6:00 AM through 6:00 PM surveying voters as they left the polling locations. In all, 1,313 Boyle County voters (including 976 from Danville) participated in the exit poll. The following statistics have a margin of error of ±2.4% for questions given to all Boyle County voters and ±2.8 for questions administered specifically to Danville voters. The data presented here are weighted for age, race, and gender.

Accuracy: On average, the results of this exit poll are 1.4% off from the actual results (in terms of the results for vote for Governor, Secretary of State, and Attorney General). More details are available here.

Response rate: In total, 54% of those who were asked took the survey, which was 20.5% of all Boyle County voters. More details are available here.

Data: A public data file is available for examination and analysis by interested parties. Any public documents (blog posts, academic articles, conference papers, newspaper editorials, etc.) produced using this data should cite and reference the poll and its author. Also, the document should include a disclaimer that neither the author nor Centre College are responsible for the interpretations or conclusions of the analysis.

Click here to download.

A summary of the results can be found here.

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