The 2016 Boyle County Exit Poll asked voters the following question:
How effective is the partnership between the City of Danville and the EDP organization at promoting jobs and economic growth in the area?
In all, 9% said very effective, 50.8% somewhat effective, 13.3% somewhat not effective, 7.5% not effective and 19.4% had no opinion or did not respond.
Similar to previous analyses, I used a “multivariate regression” analysis to see what political or demographic characteristics best predict whether a voter thinks that the partnership between Danville and the EDP is effective or not at promoting jobs and economic growth. Here are the results:
|Boyle County’s economy has gotten better||41.1%|
|Boyle County is on the right track||34.9%|
(For statistics nerds, these are the minimum to max predicted probabilities of each factor in predicting an “approve” preference in a logistic regression model. Presented coefficients are statistically significant at p<0.10.)
This is telling us that, controlling for all other factors, Boyle County voters who say that the county’s economy has gotten better over this past year are 41.4% more likely to think that the Danville-EDP partnership is effective at promoting jobs and economic growth than those who think it has gotten worse. Similarly, those who say that Boyle County is “heading in the right direction” are 34.9% more likely to think that the Danville-EDP partnership is effective.
We also see that basic demographics seem to matter. Voters over 75 are 20.8% less likely to think the partnership is effective than voters under 35. Those who attend religious services more than once a week are 14.9% more likely to think the partnership is effective than those who never attend. Voters who make over $50K/year are 11.3% less likely to think the partnership is effective than those who make less than $20K/year. Finally, men are 9.4% less likely to think the partnership is effective than women.
Factors that did not matter in predicting opinions on this issue include a person’s political partisanship/ideology, level of education, and race/ethnicity. Also, whether or not a person is a Danville or county resident did not matter. Also, a voter’s approval or disapproval of the Danville City Commission or Mayor Perros did not make a difference.
In sum, views on the Danville-EDP partnership are generally good, with half of Boyle County voters saying the partnership is “somewhat effective” and another 9% saying “very effective” (and about 20% having no opinion either way.) Whether or not a Boyle County voter sees the partnership as either somewhat or very effective are tied strongly to whether the person in generally sees the county economy as improving and the community as heading in the right direction.