Boyle County Exit Poll 2014: Voting patterns in the Danville ISD School Board Election

Below are some of the results for the Danville ISD school board election from the 2014 Boyle County Exit Poll.

As per the KY Secretary of State’s website, Susan Matherly received 25.7%, Paige Matthews received 23.6%, Steve Becker received 20.3%, Lowery Anderson received 15.9%, and Elaine Wilson-Reddy received 14.6% of the final vote.

The following table presents the percentage of voters who selected one candidate for who also voted for another candidate. To interpret: find the name going across and then another name going down. The number indicates the percentage of people ACROSS who also voted for the person going DOWN. So for example, 42.8% of Anderson voters also voted for Becker.

Becker Anderson Matherly Matthews Wilson-Reddy
Becker 100.0% 42.8% 41.8% 40.9% 43.1%
Anderson 38.9% 100.0% 46.7% 42.0% 36.2%
Matherly 49.2% 60.6% 100.0% 61.6% 57.6%
Matthews 49.5% 55.9% 63.4% 100.0% 52.2%
Wilson-Reddy 30.6% 28.2% 34.7% 30.5% 100.0%

We see that some of the strongest relationships are between Matthews/Matherly and Anderson/Matherly.

The survey also asked “do you think students in [the Danville ISD] school district perform: better/about the same/below state average?” In general, those who were tended to think that students were performing about the same or below state average tended to be slightly more likely to choose Becker, Matthews, and Wilson-Reddy.

They survey also asked “What are the chief factors that influenced your vote for Danville Board of Education?”

  • Those who answered “candidate qualifications” were slightly more likely to select Becker and Anderson.
  • Those who answered “candidate stands on issues” were more likely to vote for Becker.
  • Those who answered “know candidate personally” were more likely to vote for Anderson, Matherly, and Matthews.
  • Those who answered “recommendations from others” were slightly more likely to select Anderson, Matherly, Matthews, and Wilson-Reddy.
  • Those who answered “number of yard signs” were more likely to vote for Matthews.
  • Those who answered “location/placement” of yard signs were more likely to vote for Anderson, Matthews, and Wilson-Reddy, and less likely to vote for Becker.

The survey further asked “How well informed did you feel in your vote for Danville Board of Education?” Those who felt more informed were more likely to select Anderson, Matherly, and Matthews.

Voters who preferred Mike Perros for Danville mayor also were more inclined to prefer Becker but less likely to prefer Matherly or Matthews.

There were also some interesting demographic patterns:

  • Women were more likely to select Matherly and Matthews and men were more likely to select Becker and Anderson.
  • Self-described liberals tended to prefer Matthews and Wilson-Reddy while self-described conservatives tended to prefer Becker.
  • Older voters tended to prefer Becker and Anderson while younger voters preferred Matthews and Wilson-Reddy.
  • Those with higher incomes tended to prefer Wilson-Reddy while those with lower incomes tended to prefer Becker.
  • Non-white voters were slightly less likely to vote for Wilson-Reddy.

It should be noted again that these are all weak to moderate relationships. None of these patterns are “iron clad” or 100% predictive to any degree. Nonetheless, these were some of clear patterns that emerged in choices for Danville School Board in 2014.

Finally, respondents were also asked if they were a “parent/guardian of a student in the Danville school system.” Interestingly, there was no discernible relationship between this question and voting patterns for any of the candidates for school board.

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