Exit poll results on Kentucky’s 54th District House Race: Mike Harmon (R) vs. Barry Harmon (D)

This week, Boyle County’s incumbent state legislator Mike Harmon (R) won a tight reelection race against challenger Barry Harmon (D), 54.8% to 45.2%. The 54th district includes Boyle and Washington counties. Mike Harmon (R) won Boyle County with 51.5% of the vote and Washington County with 62.8% of the vote. Boyle County accounted for 70.5% of the total vote for the 54th district seat.

Below are the exit poll results for Boyle County’s share of the 54th district election, broken down by relevant demographic and political groups. The cross-tabulations read across, meaning for example that the first line reports that among those who self-identified as “liberals,” 17% voted for Mike Harmon while 83% voted for Barry Harmon.

Mike Harmon (R) Barry Harmon (D)
Liberal 17% 83%
Moderate 41% 59%
Conservative 76% 24%
     
Democrat 14% 86%
Ind-lean-Democrat 20% 80%
Independent 48% 52%
Ind-lean-Republican 74% 26%
Republican 85% 15%
     
Below $20K/year 41% 59%
$20-$50K/year 50% 50%
Over $50K/year 49% 51%
     
Church never 29% 71%
Church sometimes/once per week 46% 54%
More than once per week 55% 45%
     
High School 51% 49%
College graduate 50% 50%
Postgraduate 39% 61%
     
White 51% 49%
African-American 15% 85%
     
Female 46% 54%
Male 51% 49%
     
18-29 42% 58%
29-44 50% 50%
45-64 50% 50%
65+ 51% 49%
     
Pres: voted for Obama 12% 88%
Pres: voted for Romney 76% 24%
     
Congress: voted for Williams (D) 13% 87%
Congress: voted for Guthrie (R) 74% 26%
     
Approve Boyle Judge McKinney (D) 44% 56%
Disapprove McKinney (D) 58% 42%
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