- A round-up of political science forecasts models of the election. In sum, 5 models predicting a Romney win, 6 predicting an Obama win (3 of which predicting a narrow Obama win). https://www.dropbox.com/s/i9bq7tvocumdmlf/ForecastSummaryTable2012X%20%281%29.pdf
- But then, Nate Silver at 538 is showing an 80% Obama victory likelihood as of today: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
- The parties in Congress are homogenous and polarized: http://t.co/9JxNcKcG
- Speaking of which, polarization is likely to increase in the next Senate: http://t.co/pcIqc4g5
- John Sides shares his take on the electoral impact of the upcoming presidential debates: http://t.co/n0B9NOVL
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