Interactive election forecasting tool

Try your hand at predicting the outcome of this year’s election based on Obama’s approval rating and 2012 economic growth:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/2012-election-predictor/

According to this forecasting model, given Obama’s current favorability rating of 48%, he’ll likely win reelection (albeit in a squeaker) even if the economy shows zero growth this year. The economy has to start shrinking in order for Romney’s chances to become competitive.

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