Nate Silver from 538 on the New York Times has an interesting and, I think, spot-on analysis of why the Democrats would be unwise to nominate anyone other than Obama in 2012. (Not that it’s a serious possibility in the first place.) In sum:
- Obama’s approval ratings, while not great, are actually higher than they “should” be based on the dismal economy.
- Despite his lower approval numbers, his personal favorability ratings aren’t too shabby. In general, most Americans think he’s a nice guy with a nice family, even if they aren’t thrilled with how slow the economic recovery is going.
- It’s unlikely that any other Democrat would do substantially better than Obama on turning the economy around at a faster rate.
See the full post for the data that these conclusions were drawn from: