Follow-up to “Aqua Buddha”

Senate candidate Jack Conway has recently caused a stir by releasing the following campaign commercial.

This commercial was the topic of much heated debate at the Conway-Paul debate on Sunday evening. Referring to the commercial, Paul angrily asked Conway: “Have you no decency? Have you no shame?” (More available here.)

When the “Aqua Buddha” issue first emerged in late August, I blogged that the issue likely would not make much of a difference in the campaign because most people would forget about it by the time November rolled around. This has turned out to be true, in that the issue has been off everyone’s radar screen for the better part of the last two months.

In releasing this ad, however, Conway is putting the issue back on the radar screen. This may serve to push the needle at least a little bit in the minds of more middle-of-the-road voters. As I explained previously, this issue may cause some fence-sitters to update their “running tally” evaluation of Rand Paul with just enough to change a few people’s minds.

I maintain, though, that it likely by itself will not be enough to alter the outcome of the election. Providing that it doesn’t backfire on Jack Conway, however, he may be able to get enough milage out of this and the $2,000 Medicare deductible issue to make it a legitimate toss-up.

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