More evidence on the (absence of an) effect of restrictive voter registration laws on election outcomes

Back in February I described that most political science research has provided only mixed evidence that more restrictive voter registration laws (like what’s going on in Florida) result in a substantively different election outcome in states where they’re implemented. Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight recently released another sophisticated analysis showing much of the same: the passage of restrictive registration laws in state at most results in about a 1% gain for Republicans (and possibly much less). That’s hardly enough to tip the scales, except in extremely rare circumstances where the election comes down to a razor-thin margin. 

Again, this doesn’t speak to whether or not these laws are “morally” or “ideologically” a good idea, but it does suggest that the electoral consequences are likely to be minimal.

See more here: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/07/15/measuring-the-effects-of-voter-identification-laws/

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