Will the president’s big announcement affect his odds for re-election?

Probably not. If so, not by very much.

Generally-speaking, those who are opposed to same-sex marriage were likely not going to vote for him anyways and those who support same-sex marriage were already in his camp. More details here:

http://themonkeycage.org/blog/2012/05/09/the-electoral-implications-of-obamas-evolution-on-same-sex-marriage/

http://themonkeycage.org/blog/2012/05/09/what-if-every-american-favored-same-sex-marriage/

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/11/gay-marriage-and-the-democratic-base/

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